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美國租賃協會(ARA)預測未來五年美國設備租賃市場收益前景大好

更新日期:2016年5月10日 大字 小字
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The equipment rental industry revenue forecast for the next five years continues to paint a very positive picture for the future in the United States, with growth rates exceeding 7% through at least 2018, according to the latest projections released by the American Rental Association (ARA). The U.S. industry also remains on track to reach record revenue of $38.3 billion in 2015.

據美國租賃協會(ARA)最新發布的預測顯示,未來五年美國設備租賃行業收益前景大好,最晚到2018年增長率超過7%。在2015年,美國設備租賃行業收益仍有望年破383億美元的記錄。

The recently updated ARA Rental Market Monitor five-year forecast remains strong, despite slower demand for rental equipment from the mining, oil and gas sector, as commercial and residential construction spending have started to pick up steam this year and are expected to grow faster over the next few years.

最近更新的ARA租賃市場觀察顯示盡管采礦、采油、采氣設備租賃需求放緩,但是今年商業和住宅建設支出上漲,而且增長速度比去年更快,所以預測未來五年設備租賃業表現強勁。

Overall, total equipment rental revenue in 2015 for the U.S. is expected to grow 7.3% with growth of 7.8% in 2016, 7.3% in 2017, 7.4% in 2018 and 6.5% in 2019 to reach $50.6 billion.

總的來說,預計2015年美國設備租賃收益總額將增長7.3%,2016年增長7.8%,2017年增長7.3%,2018年增長7.4%,2019年增長6.5%,達506億美元。

In Canada, equipment rental revenue is forecast to increase 2.6% in 2015 to reach $4.04 billion. The growth rate is projected to increase 3.1% in 2016, 3.9% in 2017, 6.4% in 2018 and 4.5% in 2019 to reach $4.83 billion.

預測2015年加拿大設備租賃收益將增長2.6%,達40.4億美元。2016年收益增長率預計將達3.1%,2017年達3.9%,2018年達6.4%,2019年達4.5%,收益額48.3億美元。

For North America, with the U.S. and Canada combined, total equipment rental revenue is forecast to be $43.3 billion in 2015, up 6.8%, reaching $56.6 billion in 2019.

預計2015年,美國和加拿大合起來的北美設備租賃收益總額將達433億美元,增長率為6.8%,2019年總收益額將達566億美元。

“The equipment rental industry continues on an upward trajectory and is expected to show significantly strong growth through 2019. Some specific market conditions may change, but rental companies are agile and can adapt their inventory and fleet to fit what the market demands,” says Christine Wehrman, ARA’s executive vice president and CEO.

ARA執行副總裁兼CEO,Christine Wehrman表示:“設備租賃業仍成上升的發展趨勢,到2019年設備租賃行業將發展最為強勁。一些特定的市場環境可能改變,但是租賃公司也會隨之變革,從而使他們的庫存和機隊適應市場需求變化。”

“Customers from large construction companies to contractors, homeowners, corporate event planners and families celebrating milestones likes weddings and graduations also continue to learn that renting equipment is a smart move, both economically and environmentally, leading to more organic growth for rental companies,” Wehrman says.

他還認為:“無論是大建筑公司還是承包商,無論是企業活動策劃還是像婚禮、畢業典禮這樣的家庭慶祝活動,租賃設備是明智之舉,既經濟又環保。這將有利于租賃公司有機發展。”

U.S. Expansion Back on Track

美國回歸擴張之路
The new quarterly ARA forecast from the ARA Rental Market Monitor subscription service has been modified slightly compared to the first quarter’s forecast, reflecting the rapid change in market conditions, the economic dip related to the harsh weather earlier this year and the volatility in the energy markets.

ARA租賃市場觀察訂閱服務的新一季度ARA預測較第一季度的預測稍作修改,這反映了市場環境變化之快,今年早些時候天氣惡劣和能源市場波動,致使經濟面臨下行壓力。

U.S. construction and industrial equipment rental revenue, according to the forecast, is now expected to grow 7.6% in 2015, 7.9% in 2016, 7.7% in 2017, 7.8% in 2018 and 6.5% in 2019.
據預測, 2015年美國建筑和工業設備租賃收益將上漲7.6%,2016年上漲7.9%,2017年上漲7.7%,2018年上漲7.8%,2019年上漲6.5%。

U.S. general tool rental revenue now is expected to grow 7.5% in 2015, 8.5% in 2016, 7.6% in 2017, 7.8% in 2018 and 7.8% in 2019.
2015年, 美國通用工具租賃收益預計上漲7.5%,2016年上漲8.5%,2017年上漲7.6%,2018年上漲7.8%,2019年上漲7.8%

U.S. party and event rental revenue now is projected to grow 4% in 2015 and 4.3% in 2016, with growth slowing to 1.9% in 2017, 2.0% in 2018 and 1.8% in 2019.
2015年,美國派對和活動租賃收益預計增長4%,2016年增長4.3%,2017年增長1.9%,2018年增長2.0%,2019年增長1.8%。

While total rental revenue increased 3.8% in the first quarter, ARA estimates revenue growth for the industry at 7.2% in the second quarter, 8.4% in the third quarter and 9.9% in the fourth quarter, compared to the same time periods in 2014.

與2014年同期相比,2015年第一季度租賃收益總額增長3.8%,ARA估計2第二季度增長7.2%,第三季度增長8.4%,第四季度增長9.9%。

IHS Economics, the respected economic forecasting firm that compiles data and analysis for the ARA Rental Market Monitor, said U.S. expansion is back on track as growth resumed in the second quarter, led by a pickup in consumer spending, but tempered by a slowing in inventory investment.

為ARA租賃市場觀察采集和分析數據的經濟預測公司IHS Economics表示,隨著消費者支出上漲,第二季度租賃收益也隨之增長,雖然受庫存投資影響增速放緩,但是整體趨勢看漲,因此美國回歸了擴張之路。

In addition, IHS Economics said consumer spending is currently supported by gains in employment, real disposable income and asset values, and that housing markets should steadily recover in response to rising employment, easing credit standards and pent-up demand.

另外,IHS Economics認為,消費者支出增加是受就業、可支配收入和資產價值影響,而且就業增長、寬松的信貸標準和被抑制的需求刺激房地產市場穩步復蘇,這也促使消費者支出增長。

“In general, we are seeing positive economic forces favoring the equipment rental industry that outweigh any negative market forces. That leads to rental companies showing more confidence and increasing investments in fleets that will support the growth of the industry,” Wehrman says.

Wehrman表示:“一般來說,積極的經濟力量對設備租賃行業的支持超過的消極市場力量對設備租賃行業的影響。這增長了租賃公司信心,增加公司對機隊的投入,從而促進該行業發展。”

Rental companies, according to the ARA Rental Market Monitor, are forecast to invest nearly $12.6 billion this year in equipment, increasing to $13.5 billion in 2016 and $14.1 billion in 2017. Investment as a share of revenue is expected to be more than 32% for each of the next three years.

據ARA租賃市場觀察預測,今年,租賃公司將投資設備近126億美元,2016年將增至135億美元,2017年將增至141億美元。投資作為收益的一部分,預計未來三年每年增長32%。

Improving Prospects in Canada

加拿大前景轉好
Adverse weather and the slowdown in oil and gas industry investment also impacted Canada in the first quarter of 2015 as the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) declined at a 0.6% annual rate. Lower oil prices are particularly impacting Alberta, Saskatchewan and Newfoundland, while Ontario and Quebec are benefitting from gains in consumer purchasing power and export competitiveness.

惡劣的天氣和石油天然氣行業投資增速放緩影響了加拿大2015年第一季度的經濟表現,使其GDP年率下降06.%。阿爾伯塔省、薩斯喀徹溫省和紐芬蘭受低油價影響尤為嚴重,而安大略和魁北克受到消費者購買力和出口競爭力的有利影響。

In addition, the Bank of Canada lowered its policy rate to 0.5% in mid-July to help revive economic growth.

另外,加拿大央行下調政策利率0.5%,促進7月中旬以來經濟復蘇。

As a result in Canada, construction and industrial revenue is forecast to grow 2.5% in 2015, 3.1% in 2016, 3.9% in 2017, 6.8% in 2018 and 4.7% in 2019. General tool’s growth rates over for 2015-2019 in Canada are projected to be 3.0%, 2.9%, 3.5%, 5.3% and 4.1% while party and event’s growth is forecast for 3.5%, 3.9%, 4.6%, 3.5% and 2.4%.

因此在加拿大,預計2015年建筑和工業設備租賃收益增長2.5%,2016年增長3.1%,2017年增長3.9%,2018年增長6.8%,2019難增長4.7%。預計2015-2019年加拿大通用工具租賃收益增長率分別是3.0%,2.9%,3.5%,5.3%和4.1%。派對和活動設備租賃收益增長率預測分別為3.5%,3.9%,4.6%,3.5%和2.4%。
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